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EL SALVADOR PLANS TO ADOPT THE US DOLLAR

Posted March, 2001
 

by Andrew Bounds, Panama City - London Times Financial News

El Salvador will allow the US dollar to circulate freely alongside its own currency in the new year under a monetary law sent to Congress by the president on Thursday.

The legislation would fix the exchange rate between the dollar and the colon at 8.75 and allow its use as a unit of account and in all transactions.

President Francisco Flores said in a surprise televised announcement that the measure stopped short of full dollarisation, as introduced in Ecuador, but would ensure "that El Salvador has a world-class medium of payment that facilitates the commercial and financial integration of the country". The aim was "to stimulate the economy in the short-term and to bring stability and confidence in the long-term", he said.

The central American state has long been seen as a candidate for dollarisation. Its currency board has fixed the exchange rate for eight years, backed by $2bn in central bank reserves, and its economy is tied heavily to the US. Almost a fifth of the population, 1.2m people, live in the US, and are expected to send back a record $1.5bn in hard currency this year. Its biggest imports and exports are US textiles processed in its booming maquila industry. Most of its coffee exports go there, too.

Washington and the International Monetary Fund greeted the Salvadorean move positively, but both stressed that adopting the dollar on its own would not be enough.

Larry Summers, the US treasury secretary, said: "We welcome El Salvador's proposal to use the US dollar as its currency. Combined with a strong economic policy framework, this step should help contribute to financial stability and economic growth in El Salvador and its further integration into the global economy."

Horst Kohler, the IMF managing director, said: "This plan, if accompanied by the proposed fiscal measures now being considered by the assembly and by continued efforts to improve banking supervision, would build on El Salvador's solid track record of economic reforms and promote more rapid economic growth."

El Salvador would be the third Latin American economy formally to adopt the dollar, after Panama and Ecuador.

The US has made it clear it will not change its monetary or exchange rate policies for the benefit of economies that have adopted the dollar, nor would the Federal Researce stand behind their banking systems.

The US Treasury this year withheld backing for legislation that would have allowed, after a transistion period, the Federal Reserve to share seigniorage - the financial benefit accruing to the US by being able to issue currency that pays no interest - with dollarising governments.

Analysts in Central America said Mr. Flores' hand had been forced by poor economic performance. Gross domestic product rose 2.5 per cent in 1999 and is forecast to only equal that this year. Although inflation is around 3 per cent, interest rates hover around 20 percent, leading to low investment.

The dollar would enter circulation on January 1, 2001.

Courtesy: Ron Richardson

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